If you follow baseball at all during the offseason you should know by now that the Tigers are hinting that they will shop Curtis Granderson this offseason along with pitcher Edwin Jackson. Of course the Cubs have come out as the leading contendors for a Granderson trade, so i wanted to take a look at Granderson's value and look at who the Cubs might have to give up to aquire him.
Before we even get started i want to look at his career stat line, .272/.344/.484. Thats way above average for a center fielder, plus the fact that he stole 66 bases over the past 4 years. He is a 30/30 threat with a mediocre batting average. Acording to fangraphs.com Granderson was worth $15.2 mill last season, and over the last 4 years he hasnt been valued at less than 14 mill. His fielding is average, but he is a very durable player, since 06' he hasnt accumulated less than 553 AB in a season. Now last season he had a bit of a down year at the plate hitting a .249/.327/.453 stat line. So his value dipped a little last season, which may make it easier for the Cubs to get him although it will take a lot. That is the big question, who will the Tigers want in return for Granderson, some have mentioned Starlin Castro as the center piece for the trade. But i highly doubt that, as i am pretty sure Hendry has placed him under the untradable category. I wouldnt be suprised to see Josh Vitters included in the trade, possibly Andrew Cashner, Jake Fox, or Micah Hoffpauirr. The Tigers are most likely looking for pieces to replace players like Magglio Ordonez, and Placido Polanco. Mike Fontenot could be a good fit, i guess if i had to make an offer for Granderson this is what i would propose.
Granderson+ 1 mediocre minor leaguer for Tyler Colvin, Jake Fox, Mike Fontenot, Jay Jackson
Now im sure there may be a better trade offer that the Tigers would want but i think this offer is equall to what Grandersons actual value is. Colvin played extremly well this season in AA Tennesse and will likely start the year in AAA or be on the Major League roster. His season 09 season was high lighted by a streak of 15 consecutive hits, i believe that set or tied a AA record (I might be wrong). Colvin projects to be a .270 avg 15+ HR guy. He plays average CF defense and could move to a corner spot and play very well. Jake Fox needs no introduction, he has proved to be the Cubs best bench player and should be starting somewhere although he has no real position. The American league would be perfect for him, he could DH, and play the corner positions on occasion. He has .260 AVG 20+ HR potential. He hit .259/.311/.468 in his rookie campaign and was hitting over .400 with 17 bombs in AAA before his call up. Mike Fontenot underachieved in 2009, but he still has the potential to be an above average second baseman. Part of his struggles came from having to fill in at 3rd for Aramis during his injury. Although he did play well defensivly even with his struggles at the plate. Again he is another player who dosnt really have a spot in Chicago because Jeff Baker seems to have taken over at 2nd. Jay Jackson could be a PTBNL (Player to be named later) but he is an excellent starting pitching prospect. He posted solid numbers in Advanced-A and AA. He is probably 1 to 2 years from the majors but has excellent tools and could be a great starter. I think this would be a great haul for the Tigers and it wouldnt hurt the Cubs at any position really. They have another young CF coming up in Brett Jackson (their 09 draft pick). They have Andrew Cashner as another SP option and they would still hold on to their top 2 prospects in Starlin Castro and Josh Vitters. I think it still favours the Cubs but the Tigers would get immediate returns from Fox and Fontenot and possibly Colvin. I still highly doubt the Tigers are really even shopping Granderson, but its still fun to speculate.